S and s storm
![s and s storm s and s storm](http://static1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20131017053020/warriors/images/0/0f/SE-7.jpg)
Maybe they will buy some non-perishable food supplies. Maybe some people will make back-up plans for their vacations. It's about raising the public's awareness – something bad might be on the horizon and you may need to plan ahead. It's not about providing a bulletproof forecast, and it's not about clicks, he claims. More: Hurricane Irma a Category 6? That's fake news. When the group's instincts say the public should prepare for the worst, they turn to long-range forecasts. Pennewill said S&S will collaborate when a big weather event is approaching, especially seeking input from the meteorologist in the group: New York-based Joe Cioffi, who claims more than three decades of forecasting experience. The group, with a following of more than 180,000 on Facebook, is made up of nearly all volunteers living along the East Coast. 'At least you're prepared'Īlthough it acknowledges long-range forecasts are unreliable, S&S makes judgment calls about when to post snapshots of them, according to Pennewill. Included with that tweet was a five-day projection that proved to reliably track Irma's path. It said the Hurricane Center's official forecasts only go out five days. He also cited a National Weather Service tweet posted last weekend warning against "fake" forecasts. That's why meteorologists run computer models as many as 51 times so they can see the different possibilities, Nese said. One day a model can predict landfall in Florida – the next, it might project New England. More: Hurricane Irma: Where is the Category 5 storm now and where is it headed next? In a recent episode of Penn State's "Weather World" show, Nese explained that hurricane landfall forecasts in the 10-day range can vary by hundreds of miles. Nese provided more specifics, saying the science simply isn't there to reliably forecast the potential impact from a hurricane to a specific location more than a week in the future. That's why S&S is careful to label such posts "not a forecast."
![s and s storm s and s storm](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/51eR98vGpHL._AC_SY780_.jpg)
"You can’t forecast anything nine, 10 days out," acknowledged Scott Pennewill, S&S lead storm chaser. There's little disagreement on this point: Long-term forecasts are not known to produce trustworthy results when it comes to hurricanes. Jon Nese, and he'll likely be critical of such long-range projections.Īsk S&S, and it will provide a different perspective: Prepare for the worst. Had it happened, the event shown in the image would have been catastrophic for central Pennsylvania and surrounding states.Īsk a meteorologist, such as Penn State's Dr. More: How will Hurricane Irma impact Pennsylvania? (Sunny skies this weekend, for one thing)Ĭhilling footage: Caribbean webcam destroyed as Irma, category 5, strikes The page also posted several similar images last weekend, using models projecting more than a week in the future.